Tuesday, September 28, 2004

Iran Update

Indeed scary stuff.

US and European sources involved in tracking the Iranian nuclear program have made clear in recent weeks that Iran is between four and six months away from nuclear "break-out" capacity. This means that in the next four to six months Iran will have the nuclear fuel cycle complete, and will be able to independently construct nuclear bombs whenever it wishes. More conservative estimates have spoken of 12-24 months.

Put this on a missile tip and all bets are off.

W is being dazzlingly (and appropriately) ambiguous to a point.

"All options are on the table, of course, in any situation," Bush said. "But diplomacy is the first option."

Kerry is simply propounding lunacy: Offer Iran nuclear fuel.

John Kerry's proposal would call their bluff by organizing a group of states to offer Iran the nuclear fuel they need for peaceful purposes and take back the spent fuel so they cannot divert it to build a weapon.

(Hat Tips: Pick & Choose, and LGF.)

UPDATE:

Well, still dazzling, but not ambiguous.

"We've made it clear: Our position is that they won't have a nuclear weapon," Bush said.

Any questions?